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2024-12-13 13:30:53

Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 3,536, and the number of individual stocks fell by 1,717. The general increase and repair market continued, and bulls continued to dominate the market rhythm. Obviously, the recovery and rebound in these two days, whether it is a good blessing or other factors, once again verified that Tuesday's high opening and low walking is just washing dishes, not shipping, so you don't have to worry about the market reappearance on October 8.In terms of sectors, except for instruments, semiconductors, optics and optoelectronics, the sectors of other industries generally rose today. Of course, commercial department stores and consumption directions still led the rise. There are several details in the session that need to be noted. After 10 o'clock, consumption stagflation fell, and then the market for drinking and taking medicine resumed. What really reversed the decline was the strength of the big financial collective, which led the index to a wave of turnaround.To sum up, the repair and rebound in the past two days have not changed the judgment logic of the small high point. Although I am still optimistic about the market outlook, after careful measurement, I find that it is still very difficult to continue to accelerate after the market breaks through a new high. The current price-volume coordination is not supported for the time being. Therefore, I still tend to take the initiative to step back and gain momentum before I enter the acceleration cycle.


Judging from the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's A-shares can break the curse of Black Thursday, mainly because at 11 o'clock, it announced the great benefits of personal pensions. After-hours, another heavy meeting was held. Although deficit ratio and the ultra-long-term special national debt were mentioned, Lao Liu reminded me that before the small high point of 3494.87 points was not broken, it was not appropriate to blindly chase up.In the evening, the CPI data of Laomei is in line with expectations, and the probability of interest rate cuts will increase greatly next week, but today's A-shares are still faltering in early trading! Obviously, the external positive has been desensitized to A-shares, but a sudden positive in the session directly pulled the market back to the upward trend, so can A-shares continue to rise tomorrow? The 3500-point battle is reopened?Emotionally, there are 139 stocks with daily limit, 5 stocks with daily limit and 65 stocks with a drop of more than 5% in the two cities. The data shows that the expected differences were not staged as scheduled because of the favorable stimulus, but the situation of high-standard stocks' nuclear buttons and broken boards continued to deteriorate. At present, the main risks are still focused on stocks that have risen recently, and it is basically safe not to chase after them.


In terms of sectors, except for instruments, semiconductors, optics and optoelectronics, the sectors of other industries generally rose today. Of course, commercial department stores and consumption directions still led the rise. There are several details in the session that need to be noted. After 10 o'clock, consumption stagflation fell, and then the market for drinking and taking medicine resumed. What really reversed the decline was the strength of the big financial collective, which led the index to a wave of turnaround.This wave of market rose for 12 days, only fell for 3 days in the middle, but the increase was only 6.19%, which was a proper slow pace! Next, either the volume is accelerated, or the high probability is to step back and gain momentum before breaking through. In response, you can wait and see by holding shares. If the short-term rise is high, remember to drop the bag and adjust the position. If this wave underperforms the market, it will be enough to make up for the increase with performance support.However, if we continue to shake and consolidate below this point, the risk of the broader market will not be great, so let me remind you that before the logic of judging the small high point has not changed, we can continue to watch more and move less. After all, today's reversal is mainly driven by favorable+mysterious funds entering the market, rather than the real offensive kinetic energy of the market.

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